Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.084416 0.094054 0.103843 0.114502 0.125753 0.137250 0.149860
2025-08-03 0.068796 0.083285 0.098651 0.116031 0.135020 0.155027 0.177590
2025-08-10 0.058233 0.075712 0.094926 0.117318 0.142423 0.169460 0.200544
2025-08-17 0.049535 0.068875 0.090845 0.117124 0.147234 0.180240 0.218765
2025-08-24 0.040625 0.060713 0.084328 0.113321 0.147237 0.185038 0.229773
2025-08-31 0.033791 0.054291 0.079207 0.110547 0.147902 0.190145 0.240730
2025-09-07 0.029551 0.050660 0.077073 0.110977 0.152006 0.198942 0.255666
2025-09-14 0.026525 0.048288 0.076243 0.112766 0.157539 0.209252 0.272225
2025-09-21 0.025004 0.047779 0.077648 0.117203 0.166165 0.223118 0.292858
2025-09-28 0.022420 0.045523 0.076603 0.118430 0.170793 0.232203 0.307876
2025-10-05 0.022843 0.047612 0.081294 0.126925 0.184315 0.251843 0.335265
2025-10-12 0.019902 0.044449 0.078770 0.126059 0.186223 0.257592 0.346305
2025-10-19 0.018778 0.044132 0.080301 0.130729 0.195396 0.272531 0.368811
2025-10-26 0.016456 0.041734 0.078865 0.131506 0.199755 0.281782 0.384747
2025-11-02 0.014518 0.039736 0.077849 0.132736 0.204620 0.291611 0.401364
2025-11-09 0.012410 0.037176 0.075844 0.132503 0.207524 0.298982 0.414991
2025-11-16 0.009654 0.033010 0.071177 0.128418 0.205301 0.299917 0.420755
2025-11-23 0.007539 0.029646 0.067460 0.125440 0.204351 0.302301 0.428167
2025-11-30 0.006369 0.027986 0.066264 0.125901 0.207831 0.310138 0.442162
2025-12-07 0.005588 0.027038 0.066129 0.127822 0.213205 0.320326 0.459018
2025-12-14 0.005343 0.027305 0.067966 0.132581 0.222361 0.335275 0.481721
2025-12-21 0.004592 0.026199 0.067460 0.133897 0.226892 0.344392 0.497276
2025-12-28 0.005038 0.028215 0.072247 0.142993 0.241900 0.366775 0.529172